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Spokane, WA · ZIP 99004 · Census Tract 53063014100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$416K
Downside (P10)
$338K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$450K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$694K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $219K | $208K | $223K | $231K | $245K | $282K | $298K | $349K | $376K | $419K | $416K | $432K | $434K | $450K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$196,438 | -$207,838 | -$192,438 | -$184,638 | -$170,538 | -$134,038 | -$118,138 | -$66,938 | -$39,538 | +$3,562 | +$16,098 | +$17,928 | +$34,496 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.2% | -50.0% | -46.3% | -44.4% | -41.0% | -32.2% | -28.4% | -16.1% | -9.5% | +0.9% | +3.9% | +4.3% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $359K | $346K | $338K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $531K | $572K | $694K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$359K to $531K
39.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$338K to $694K
79.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheney-Medical Lake · Cheney · (Tract 141) | $418K | $450K | +7.6% | |
| Deer Park | $414K | $468K | +13.1% | |
| Cheney | $412K | $466K | +13.1% | |
| Spokane (Tract 003100) | $411K | $462K | +12.4% | |
| Liberty Lake | $419K | $450K | +7.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 011102) | $419K | $443K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheney-Medical Lake · Cheney · (Tract 141) | $418K | $450K | +7.6% | |
| Airway Heights | $337K | $405K | +20.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013003) | $655K | $781K | +19.2% | |
| Spokane (Tract 004100) | $486K | $573K | +18.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 002000) | $262K | $308K | +17.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheney-Medical Lake · Cheney · (Tract 141) | $418K | $450K | $356K | |
| Spokane (Tract 004701) | $371K | $402K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 001600) | $245K | $255K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 002501) | $285K | $309K | $143K | |
| Spokane (Tract 011104) | $259K | $279K | $131K | |
| Spokane (Tract 003000) | $258K | $285K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Spokane, WA · ZIP 99004 · Census Tract 53063014100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$416K
Downside (P10)
$338K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$450K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$694K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $219K | $208K | $223K | $231K | $245K | $282K | $298K | $349K | $376K | $419K | $416K | $432K | $434K | $450K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$196,438 | -$207,838 | -$192,438 | -$184,638 | -$170,538 | -$134,038 | -$118,138 | -$66,938 | -$39,538 | +$3,562 | +$16,098 | +$17,928 | +$34,496 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.2% | -50.0% | -46.3% | -44.4% | -41.0% | -32.2% | -28.4% | -16.1% | -9.5% | +0.9% | +3.9% | +4.3% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $359K | $346K | $338K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $531K | $572K | $694K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$359K to $531K
39.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$338K to $694K
79.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheney-Medical Lake · Cheney · (Tract 141) | $418K | $450K | +7.6% | |
| Deer Park | $414K | $468K | +13.1% | |
| Cheney | $412K | $466K | +13.1% | |
| Spokane (Tract 003100) | $411K | $462K | +12.4% | |
| Liberty Lake | $419K | $450K | +7.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 011102) | $419K | $443K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheney-Medical Lake · Cheney · (Tract 141) | $418K | $450K | +7.6% | |
| Airway Heights | $337K | $405K | +20.4% | |
| Spokane (Tract 013003) | $655K | $781K | +19.2% | |
| Spokane (Tract 004100) | $486K | $573K | +18.0% | |
| Spokane (Tract 002000) | $262K | $308K | +17.6% | |
| Spokane (Tract 001100) | $381K | $448K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheney-Medical Lake · Cheney · (Tract 141) | $418K | $450K | $356K | |
| Spokane (Tract 004701) | $371K | $402K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 001600) | $245K | $255K | $147K | |
| Spokane (Tract 002501) | $285K | $309K | $143K | |
| Spokane (Tract 011104) | $259K | $279K | $131K | |
| Spokane (Tract 003000) | $258K | $285K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
