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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Thurston, WA · ZIP 98597 · Census Tract 53067012532 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$599K
Downside (P10)
$510K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$663K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$934K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $368K | $415K | $493K | $563K | $580K | $599K | $607K | $628K | $663K |
| YoY Change | +12.8% | +18.9% | +14.2% | +3.1% | +3.2% | +1.4% | +3.4% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $526K | $529K | $510K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $785K | $888K | $934K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$526K to $785K
42.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$510K to $934K
63.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South · Yelm · (Tract 125.32) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Thurston South | $592K | $659K | +11.3% | |
| Olympia (Tract 010400) | $596K | $655K | +10.0% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011721) | $596K | $647K | +8.5% | |
| Olympia East | $613K | $632K | +2.9% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012226) | $592K | $608K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South · Yelm · (Tract 125.32) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012211) | $700K | $827K | +18.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012620) | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012510) | $402K | $456K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South · Yelm · (Tract 125.32) | $579K | $663K | $423K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010520) | $448K | $501K | $205K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011200) | $343K | $371K | $197K | |
| Thurston South | $424K | $443K | $194K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011300) | $315K | $345K | $165K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010510) | $94K | $101K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.