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Thurston, WA · ZIP 98512 · Census Tract 53067011822 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$565K
Downside (P10)
$483K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$611K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$764K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $281K | $280K | $288K | $307K | $321K | $344K | $374K | $445K | $479K | $548K | $565K | $580K | $594K | $611K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$284,015 | -$284,315 | -$276,415 | -$257,615 | -$243,915 | -$220,915 | -$190,415 | -$119,415 | -$85,715 | -$16,615 | +$15,518 | +$29,874 | +$46,548 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.3% | -50.4% | -49.0% | -45.6% | -43.2% | -39.1% | -33.7% | -21.1% | -15.2% | -2.9% | +2.7% | +5.3% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $472K | $487K | $483K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $661K | $726K | $764K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$472K to $661K
32.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$483K to $764K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia West | $565K | $611K | +8.1% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% | |
| Olympia East | $579K | $626K | +8.2% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011100) | $557K | $594K | +6.6% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012001) | $579K | $611K | +5.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 010100) | $566K | $586K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia West | $565K | $611K | +8.1% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012211) | $700K | $827K | +18.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012620) | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012532) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia West | $565K | $611K | $281K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010520) | $448K | $501K | $205K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011200) | $343K | $371K | $197K | |
| Thurston South | $424K | $443K | $194K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011300) | $315K | $345K | $165K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010510) | $94K | $101K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Thurston, WA · ZIP 98512 · Census Tract 53067011822 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$565K
Downside (P10)
$483K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$611K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$764K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $281K | $280K | $288K | $307K | $321K | $344K | $374K | $445K | $479K | $548K | $565K | $580K | $594K | $611K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$284,015 | -$284,315 | -$276,415 | -$257,615 | -$243,915 | -$220,915 | -$190,415 | -$119,415 | -$85,715 | -$16,615 | +$15,518 | +$29,874 | +$46,548 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.3% | -50.4% | -49.0% | -45.6% | -43.2% | -39.1% | -33.7% | -21.1% | -15.2% | -2.9% | +2.7% | +5.3% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $472K | $487K | $483K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $661K | $726K | $764K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$472K to $661K
32.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$483K to $764K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia West | $565K | $611K | +8.1% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% | |
| Olympia East | $579K | $626K | +8.2% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011100) | $557K | $594K | +6.6% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012001) | $579K | $611K | +5.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 010100) | $566K | $586K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia West | $565K | $611K | +8.1% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012211) | $700K | $827K | +18.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012620) | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012532) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia West | $565K | $611K | $281K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010520) | $448K | $501K | $205K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011200) | $343K | $371K | $197K | |
| Thurston South | $424K | $443K | $194K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011300) | $315K | $345K | $165K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010510) | $94K | $101K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
