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Dane, WI · ZIP 53704 · Census Tract 55025002401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$329K
Downside (P10)
$274K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$374K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$486K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $329K | $334K | $342K | $374K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +2.4% | +9.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $285K | $281K | $274K | |
| Upside (P90) | $425K | $441K | $486K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$285K to $425K
42.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$274K to $486K
56.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53704 · (Tract 24.1) | $328K | $374K | +14.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 000505) | $325K | $352K | +8.2% | |
| Madison (Tract 003001) | $328K | $349K | +6.6% | |
| Fitchburg | $328K | $346K | +5.5% | |
| Sun Prairie area | $331K | $349K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53704 · (Tract 24.1) | $328K | $374K | +14.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 002301) | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison (Tract 011407) | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison (Tract 002700) | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53704 · (Tract 24.1) | $328K | $374K | $212K | |
| Dunkirk | $307K | $311K | $122K | |
| Madison (Tract 001804) | $259K | $277K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 002602) | $291K | $300K | $117K | |
| Madison (Tract 001606) | $161K | $178K | $87K | |
| Madison (Tract 000410) | $72K | $85K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources