Dane, WI · ZIP 53718 · Census Tract 55025011406 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$408K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$441K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$710K
+74% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +74%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Dane markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $285K | $291K | $333K | $352K | $394K | $408K | $423K | $433K | $441K |
| YoY Change | +1.9% | +14.6% | +5.8% | +11.8% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +2.3% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $354K | $348K | $342K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $566K | $710K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$354K to $494K
33.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$342K to $710K
83.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | +10.1% | |
| Cross Plains area | $411K | $446K | +8.5% | |
| Verona area | $400K | $460K | +15.2% | |
| Madison | $399K | $418K | +5.0% | |
| Cottage Grove | $419K | $462K | +10.4% | |
| Fitchburg | $396K | $425K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison · 53718 · (Tract 114.6) | $401K | $441K | +10.1% | |
| Madison | $72K | $85K | +18.0% | |
| Madison | $328K | $386K | +17.8% | |
| Madison | $298K | $346K | +16.1% | |
| Madison | $295K | $342K | +16.0% | |
| Westport area | $531K | $615K | +15.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.