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Racine, WI · ZIP 53403 · Census Tract 55101000800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$194K
Downside (P10)
$163K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$196K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$256K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $100K | $100K | $102K | $113K | $114K | $133K | $167K | $168K | $186K | $194K | $191K | $202K | $196K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$87,313 | -$94,413 | -$94,313 | -$92,413 | -$81,113 | -$79,913 | -$60,813 | -$27,713 | -$25,913 | -$8,213 | -$2,849 | +$8,025 | +$1,911 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.0% | -48.6% | -48.6% | -47.6% | -41.8% | -41.1% | -31.3% | -14.3% | -13.3% | -4.2% | -1.5% | +4.1% | +1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $167K | $163K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $230K | $239K | $256K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$170K to $230K
31.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$163K to $256K
47.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant area | $190K | $196K | +3.3% | |
| Racine (Tract 001401) | $184K | $200K | +8.5% | |
| Near Racine (Tract 000200) | $182K | $196K | +7.6% | |
| Near Racine (Tract 001302) | $178K | $191K | +7.2% | |
| Racine (Tract 001001) | $183K | $194K | +6.5% | |
| Racine (Tract 001101) | $196K | $206K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant area | $190K | $196K | +3.3% | |
| Wind Lake | $428K | $510K | +19.2% | |
| Racine (Tract 760003) | $488K | $576K | +18.1% | |
| Racine (Tract 960007) | $476K | $559K | +17.5% | |
| Caledonia | $308K | $356K | +15.6% | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant area | $190K | $196K | $93K | |
| Racine (Tract 001201) | $152K | $161K | $79K | |
| Racine (Tract 000700) | $161K | $176K | $74K | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | $57K | |
| Racine (Tract 002900) | $101K | $106K | $52K | |
| Racine (Tract 000400) | $86K | $91K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Racine, WI · ZIP 53403 · Census Tract 55101000800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$194K
Downside (P10)
$163K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$196K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$256K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $100K | $100K | $102K | $113K | $114K | $133K | $167K | $168K | $186K | $194K | $191K | $202K | $196K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$87,313 | -$94,413 | -$94,313 | -$92,413 | -$81,113 | -$79,913 | -$60,813 | -$27,713 | -$25,913 | -$8,213 | -$2,849 | +$8,025 | +$1,911 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.0% | -48.6% | -48.6% | -47.6% | -41.8% | -41.1% | -31.3% | -14.3% | -13.3% | -4.2% | -1.5% | +4.1% | +1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $167K | $163K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $230K | $239K | $256K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$170K to $230K
31.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$163K to $256K
47.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant area | $190K | $196K | +3.3% | |
| Racine (Tract 001401) | $184K | $200K | +8.5% | |
| Near Racine (Tract 000200) | $182K | $196K | +7.6% | |
| Near Racine (Tract 001302) | $178K | $191K | +7.2% | |
| Racine (Tract 001001) | $183K | $194K | +6.5% | |
| Racine (Tract 001101) | $196K | $206K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant area | $190K | $196K | +3.3% | |
| Wind Lake | $428K | $510K | +19.2% | |
| Racine (Tract 760003) | $488K | $576K | +18.1% | |
| Racine (Tract 960007) | $476K | $559K | +17.5% | |
| Caledonia | $308K | $356K | +15.6% | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant area | $190K | $196K | $93K | |
| Racine (Tract 001201) | $152K | $161K | $79K | |
| Racine (Tract 000700) | $161K | $176K | $74K | |
| Racine (Tract 000500) | $89K | $101K | $57K | |
| Racine (Tract 002900) | $101K | $106K | $52K | |
| Racine (Tract 000400) | $86K | $91K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
