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Sauk, WI · ZIP 53561 · Census Tract 55111000500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$304K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$374K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$495K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $229K | $237K | $241K | $236K | $245K | $234K | $257K | $287K | $319K | $337K | $361K | $364K | $380K | $374K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$131,780 | -$124,180 | -$119,280 | -$124,780 | -$115,780 | -$126,280 | -$104,180 | -$73,780 | -$41,780 | -$23,280 | +$3,077 | +$19,266 | +$13,780 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.5% | -34.4% | -33.1% | -34.6% | -32.1% | -35.0% | -28.9% | -20.5% | -11.6% | -6.5% | +0.9% | +5.3% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $322K | $320K | $304K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $420K | $461K | $495K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$322K to $420K
26.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$304K to $495K
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumpter area | $351K | $374K | +6.7% | |
| Honey Creek area | $372K | $418K | +12.4% | |
| Woodland | $321K | $353K | +10.1% | |
| Prairie du Sac (Tract 000603) | $380K | $403K | +6.1% | |
| Fairfield | $326K | $345K | +6.0% | |
| Prairie du Sac (Tract 000700) | $299K | $308K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumpter area | $351K | $374K | +6.7% | |
| Prairie du Sac | $258K | $298K | +15.4% | |
| Honey Creek area | $372K | $418K | +12.4% | |
| Spring Green area | $291K | $326K | +12.2% | |
| Baraboo | $206K | $230K | +11.3% | |
| Ironton area | $255K | $281K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumpter area | $351K | $374K | $191K | |
| Reedsburg area (Tract 001003) | $239K | $256K | $124K | |
| Greenfield | $243K | $260K | $121K | |
| Baraboo | $206K | $230K | $105K | |
| Reedsburg area (Tract 001002) | $177K | $183K | $91K | |
| Delton area | $177K | $192K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sauk, WI · ZIP 53561 · Census Tract 55111000500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$304K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$374K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$495K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $229K | $237K | $241K | $236K | $245K | $234K | $257K | $287K | $319K | $337K | $361K | $364K | $380K | $374K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$131,780 | -$124,180 | -$119,280 | -$124,780 | -$115,780 | -$126,280 | -$104,180 | -$73,780 | -$41,780 | -$23,280 | +$3,077 | +$19,266 | +$13,780 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.5% | -34.4% | -33.1% | -34.6% | -32.1% | -35.0% | -28.9% | -20.5% | -11.6% | -6.5% | +0.9% | +5.3% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $322K | $320K | $304K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $420K | $461K | $495K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$322K to $420K
26.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$304K to $495K
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumpter area | $351K | $374K | +6.7% | |
| Honey Creek area | $372K | $418K | +12.4% | |
| Woodland | $321K | $353K | +10.1% | |
| Prairie du Sac (Tract 000603) | $380K | $403K | +6.1% | |
| Fairfield | $326K | $345K | +6.0% | |
| Prairie du Sac (Tract 000700) | $299K | $308K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumpter area | $351K | $374K | +6.7% | |
| Prairie du Sac | $258K | $298K | +15.4% | |
| Honey Creek area | $372K | $418K | +12.4% | |
| Spring Green area | $291K | $326K | +12.2% | |
| Baraboo | $206K | $230K | +11.3% | |
| Ironton area | $255K | $281K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumpter area | $351K | $374K | $191K | |
| Reedsburg area (Tract 001003) | $239K | $256K | $124K | |
| Greenfield | $243K | $260K | $121K | |
| Baraboo | $206K | $230K | $105K | |
| Reedsburg area (Tract 001002) | $177K | $183K | $91K | |
| Delton area | $177K | $192K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
