Waukesha, WI · ZIP 53051 · Census Tract 55133200400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$445K
Downside (P10)
$365K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$474K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$659K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +48%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Waukesha markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $272K | $278K | $294K | $317K | $320K | $342K | $360K | $401K | $431K | $450K | $445K | $453K | $448K | $474K |
| YoY Change | +2.4% | +5.6% | +8.0% | +0.8% | +7.0% | +5.1% | +11.5% | +7.6% | +4.4% | -1.2% | +1.8% | -1.0% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $384K | $372K | $365K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $597K | $619K | $659K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$384K to $597K
47.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$365K to $659K
62.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menomonee Falls · 53051 · (Tract 2004) | $449K | $474K | +5.6% | |
| Oconomowoc | $442K | $489K | +10.7% | |
| Brookfield area | $449K | $472K | +5.0% | |
| Muskego | $440K | $456K | +3.8% | |
| Genesee area | $450K | $469K | +4.3% | |
| Vernon | $451K | $504K | +11.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menomonee Falls · 53051 · (Tract 2004) | $449K | $474K | +5.6% | |
| Muskego | $382K | $457K | +19.5% | |
| Butler | $250K | $295K | +18.0% | |
| Brookfield area | $465K | $549K | +17.9% | |
| Sussex | $398K | $461K | +15.9% | |
| Waukesha | $292K | $338K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menomonee Falls · 53051 · (Tract 2004) | $449K | $474K | $294K | |
| Menomonee Falls | $311K | $318K | $122K | |
| Waukesha | $266K | $283K | $134K | |
| New Berlin | $289K | $305K | $142K | |
| Waukesha | $275K | $295K | $146K | |
| Waukesha | $384K | $386K | $147K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.