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Waukesha, WI · ZIP 53186 · Census Tract 55133202902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$389K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$411K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$564K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $230K | $231K | $232K | $232K | $239K | $250K | $269K | $325K | $347K | $377K | $389K | $399K | $412K | $411K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +7.8% | +20.7% | +6.7% | +8.7% | +3.2% | +2.5% | +3.3% | -0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $347K | $322K | $327K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $510K | $533K | $564K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$347K to $510K
40.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$327K to $564K
57.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookfield area | $380K | $411K | +8.1% | |
| Ottawa | $391K | $436K | +11.6% | |
| Oconomowoc area | $393K | $437K | +11.1% | |
| Hartland | $385K | $424K | +10.1% | |
| Waukesha (Tract 203105) | $385K | $417K | +8.2% | |
| Waukesha (Tract 202101) | $384K | $386K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookfield area | $380K | $411K | +8.1% | |
| Muskego | $382K | $457K | +19.5% | |
| Butler | $250K | $295K | +18.0% | |
| Brookfield area | $465K | $549K | +17.9% | |
| Sussex | $398K | $461K | +15.9% | |
| Waukesha | $292K | $338K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brookfield area | $380K | $411K | $238K | |
| Waukesha (Tract 202101) | $384K | $386K | $147K | |
| Waukesha (Tract 203000) | $275K | $295K | $146K | |
| New Berlin | $289K | $305K | $142K | |
| Waukesha (Tract 202800) | $266K | $283K | $134K | |
| Menomonee Falls | $311K | $318K | $122K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.