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Marion, WV · ZIP 26554 · Census Tract 54049020900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$204K
Downside (P10)
$174K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$217K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$302K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $134K | $134K | $135K | $145K | $144K | $157K | $154K | $182K | $194K | $203K | $204K | $204K | $209K | $217K | $211K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | +0.7% | +7.1% | -0.2% | +8.9% | -2.0% | +17.9% | +6.5% | +5.1% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +3.7% | -2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $175K | $175K | $174K | $186K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $249K | $270K | $302K | $239K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$175K to $249K
36.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$186K to $239K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatine | $204K | $217K | +6.6% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021100) | $222K | $249K | +12.5% | |
| Fairmont | $240K | $267K | +11.3% | |
| Middletown (Tract 021400) | $176K | $191K | +9.1% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021001) | $229K | $249K | +8.8% | |
| Middletown (Tract 020300) | $209K | $221K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatine | $204K | $217K | +6.6% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021202) | $157K | $185K | +17.9% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021002) | $168K | $196K | +16.9% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021601) | $154K | $177K | +15.1% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021800) | $110K | $125K | +13.6% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021100) | $222K | $249K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatine | $204K | $217K | $128K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020500) | $126K | $137K | $66K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020200) | $105K | $115K | $65K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020600) | $133K | $144K | $64K | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021700) | $115K | $118K | $58K | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021602) | $80K | $90K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.