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Marion, WV · ZIP 26582 · Census Tract 54049021800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$112K
Downside (P10)
$97K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$125K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$170K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $91K | $87K | $83K | $88K | $88K | $95K | $108K | $113K | $109K | $112K | $115K | $118K | $125K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$26,261 | -$20,861 | -$24,861 | -$29,461 | -$23,961 | -$23,761 | -$16,961 | -$4,261 | +$639 | -$3,361 | +$3,211 | +$5,839 | +$12,637 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.5% | -18.6% | -22.2% | -26.3% | -21.4% | -21.2% | -15.1% | -3.8% | +0.6% | -3.0% | +2.9% | +5.2% | +11.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $100K | $94K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $150K | $158K | $170K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$100K to $150K
44.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $170K
58.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Augusta · Mannington · (Tract 218) | $110K | $125K | +13.6% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021300) | $118K | $130K | +10.0% | |
| Middletown (Tract 020500) | $126K | $137K | +8.7% | |
| Middletown (Tract 020200) | $105K | $115K | +8.7% | |
| Middletown (Tract 020600) | $133K | $144K | +8.0% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021700) | $115K | $118K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Augusta · Mannington · (Tract 218) | $110K | $125K | +13.6% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021202) | $157K | $185K | +17.9% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021002) | $168K | $196K | +16.9% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021601) | $154K | $177K | +15.1% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021100) | $222K | $249K | +12.5% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021602) | $80K | $90K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Augusta · Mannington · (Tract 218) | $110K | $125K | $73K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020500) | $126K | $137K | $66K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020200) | $105K | $115K | $65K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020600) | $133K | $144K | $64K | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021700) | $115K | $118K | $58K | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021602) | $80K | $90K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Marion, WV · ZIP 26582 · Census Tract 54049021800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$112K
Downside (P10)
$97K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$125K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$170K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $91K | $87K | $83K | $88K | $88K | $95K | $108K | $113K | $109K | $112K | $115K | $118K | $125K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$26,261 | -$20,861 | -$24,861 | -$29,461 | -$23,961 | -$23,761 | -$16,961 | -$4,261 | +$639 | -$3,361 | +$3,211 | +$5,839 | +$12,637 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.5% | -18.6% | -22.2% | -26.3% | -21.4% | -21.2% | -15.1% | -3.8% | +0.6% | -3.0% | +2.9% | +5.2% | +11.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $100K | $94K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $150K | $158K | $170K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$100K to $150K
44.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $170K
58.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Augusta · Mannington · (Tract 218) | $110K | $125K | +13.6% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021300) | $118K | $130K | +10.0% | |
| Middletown (Tract 020500) | $126K | $137K | +8.7% | |
| Middletown (Tract 020200) | $105K | $115K | +8.7% | |
| Middletown (Tract 020600) | $133K | $144K | +8.0% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021700) | $115K | $118K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Augusta · Mannington · (Tract 218) | $110K | $125K | +13.6% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021202) | $157K | $185K | +17.9% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021002) | $168K | $196K | +16.9% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021601) | $154K | $177K | +15.1% | |
| Palatine (Tract 021100) | $222K | $249K | +12.5% | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021602) | $80K | $90K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Augusta · Mannington · (Tract 218) | $110K | $125K | $73K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020500) | $126K | $137K | $66K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020200) | $105K | $115K | $65K | |
| Middletown (Tract 020600) | $133K | $144K | $64K | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021700) | $115K | $118K | $58K | |
| West Augusta (Tract 021602) | $80K | $90K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
