What is the home price forecast for Parcel 54051021002 in Moundsville area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $156,300 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 54051021002 in Moundsville area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $156,300 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.6%.

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Parcel 54051021002 (Moundsville area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 54051021002, Moundsville area Home Price Forecast

Marshall, WV · ZIP 26041 · Census Tract 54051021002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$156K

Downside (P10)

$133K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$170K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$220K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$107K	$113K	$124K	$137K	$149K	$156K	$161K	$165K	$170K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$49,600	-$43,600	-$31,900	-$19,300	-$6,900		+$4,450	+$8,320	+$13,408
Growth % vs 2026	-31.7%	-27.9%	-20.4%	-12.3%	-4.4%		+2.8%	+5.3%	+8.6%
Downside (P10)							$132K	$130K	$133K
Upside (P90)							$192K	$207K	$220K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$132K to $192K

36.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$133K to $220K

51.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.6% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 54051021002, Moundsville area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).