What is the home price forecast for Parcel 54061010101 in Morgantown?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $321,934 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 54061010101 in Morgantown?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $321,934 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.5%.

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Parcel 54061010101 (Morgantown) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 54061010101, Morgantown Home Price Forecast

Monongalia, WV · ZIP 26505 · Census Tract 54061010101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$322K

Downside (P10)

$279K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$340K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$480K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2015	2016	2017	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$146K	$144K	$145K	$302K	$322K	$318K	$335K	$340K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$176,134	-$178,134	-$176,934	-$19,734		-$3,941	+$13,035	+$17,831
Growth % vs 2026	-54.7%	-55.3%	-55.0%	-6.1%		-1.2%	+4.0%	+5.5%
Downside (P10)						$270K	$270K	$279K
Upside (P90)						$402K	$447K	$480K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$270K to $402K

41.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$279K to $480K

59.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.5% · Spread: 59%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 54061010101, Morgantown on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).