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Monongalia, WV · ZIP 26508 · Census Tract 54061011803 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$191K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$333K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $138K | $169K | $167K | $176K | $193K | $201K | $221K | $234K | $243K | $248K | $249K | $255K | $256K | $253K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$121,329 | -$109,729 | -$78,329 | -$81,129 | -$71,329 | -$54,929 | -$46,729 | -$27,129 | -$13,329 | -$4,529 | +$1,305 | +$7,636 | +$8,767 | +$5,246 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.0% | -44.3% | -31.6% | -32.8% | -28.8% | -22.2% | -18.9% | -11.0% | -5.4% | -1.8% | +0.5% | +3.1% | +3.5% | +2.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $199K | $195K | $191K | $229K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $297K | $303K | $333K | $282K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$199K to $297K
39.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$229K to $282K
21.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western area | $245K | $256K | +4.7% | |
| Eastern | $228K | $273K | +19.9% | |
| Morgantown (Tract 010104) | $239K | $267K | +11.8% | |
| Morgantown (Tract 010901) | $252K | $272K | +8.1% | |
| Western (Tract 011500) | $241K | $255K | +6.0% | |
| Western (Tract 011300) | $225K | $231K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western area | $245K | $256K | +4.7% | |
| Eastern (Tract 011601) | $228K | $273K | +19.9% | |
| Eastern (Tract 010203) | $221K | $262K | +18.8% | |
| Western | $168K | $195K | +15.9% | |
| Eastern (Tract 011806) | $344K | $397K | +15.4% | |
| Morgantown | $174K | $196K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western area | $245K | $256K | $142K | |
| Eastern (Tract 010800) | $198K | $209K | $114K | |
| Eastern (Tract 011601) | $228K | $273K | $111K | |
| Morgantown | $174K | $196K | $109K | |
| Western (Tract 011200) | $168K | $195K | $100K | |
| Western (Tract 011100) | $199K | $219K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Monongalia, WV · ZIP 26508 · Census Tract 54061011803 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$191K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$333K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $138K | $169K | $167K | $176K | $193K | $201K | $221K | $234K | $243K | $248K | $249K | $255K | $256K | $253K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$121,329 | -$109,729 | -$78,329 | -$81,129 | -$71,329 | -$54,929 | -$46,729 | -$27,129 | -$13,329 | -$4,529 | +$1,305 | +$7,636 | +$8,767 | +$5,246 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.0% | -44.3% | -31.6% | -32.8% | -28.8% | -22.2% | -18.9% | -11.0% | -5.4% | -1.8% | +0.5% | +3.1% | +3.5% | +2.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $199K | $195K | $191K | $229K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $297K | $303K | $333K | $282K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$199K to $297K
39.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$229K to $282K
21.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western area | $245K | $256K | +4.7% | |
| Eastern | $228K | $273K | +19.9% | |
| Morgantown (Tract 010104) | $239K | $267K | +11.8% | |
| Morgantown (Tract 010901) | $252K | $272K | +8.1% | |
| Western (Tract 011500) | $241K | $255K | +6.0% | |
| Western (Tract 011300) | $225K | $231K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western area | $245K | $256K | +4.7% | |
| Eastern (Tract 011601) | $228K | $273K | +19.9% | |
| Eastern (Tract 010203) | $221K | $262K | +18.8% | |
| Western | $168K | $195K | +15.9% | |
| Eastern (Tract 011806) | $344K | $397K | +15.4% | |
| Morgantown | $174K | $196K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western area | $245K | $256K | $142K | |
| Eastern (Tract 010800) | $198K | $209K | $114K | |
| Eastern (Tract 011601) | $228K | $273K | $111K | |
| Morgantown | $174K | $196K | $109K | |
| Western (Tract 011200) | $168K | $195K | $100K | |
| Western (Tract 011100) | $199K | $219K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
