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Randolph, WV · ZIP 26273 · Census Tract 54083966500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$108K
Downside (P10)
$98K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$113K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$139K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $73K | $73K | $75K | $79K | $80K | $100K | $103K | $102K | $103K | $108K | $111K | $116K | $113K |
| YoY Change | -1.2% | -1.1% | +3.3% | +5.9% | +0.6% | +25.2% | +2.9% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +5.1% | -3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $93K | $95K | $98K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $127K | $134K | $139K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$93K to $127K
30.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$98K to $139K
35.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huttonsville area | $106K | $113K | +6.8% | |
| Middle Fork area | $123K | $132K | +6.8% | |
| Beverly | $136K | $145K | +6.9% | |
| Leadsville (Tract 966000) | $154K | $160K | +3.8% | |
| Dry Fork | $161K | $174K | +7.7% | |
| Leadsville (Tract 966200) | $162K | $161K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huttonsville area | $106K | $113K | +6.8% | |
| Elkins | $164K | $176K | +7.8% | |
| Dry Fork | $161K | $174K | +7.7% | |
| Beverly | $136K | $145K | +6.9% | |
| Middle Fork area | $123K | $132K | +6.8% | |
| Leadsville | $154K | $160K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huttonsville area | $106K | $113K | $40K | |
| Middle Fork area | $123K | $132K | $54K | |
| Beverly | $136K | $145K | $60K | |
| Leadsville (Tract 966000) | $154K | $160K | $77K | |
| Leadsville (Tract 966200) | $162K | $161K | $98K | |
| Dry Fork | $161K | $174K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.