County 56420, WY · Census Tract 56420004245 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$282K
Downside (P10)
$279K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$396K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$574K
+103% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +103%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 56420 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $313K | $339K | $360K | $396K |
| YoY Change | +11.1% | +8.1% | +6.2% | +10.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $251K | $257K | $259K | $279K | |
| Upside (P90) | $398K | $456K | $521K | $574K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$252K to $330K
27.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$279K to $574K
74.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001523 | $282K | $362K | +28.3% |
| Tract 001840 | $282K | $372K | +31.6% |
| Tract 002603 | $283K | $385K | +36.2% |
| Tract 002124 | $283K | $378K | +33.8% |
| Tract 004342 | $283K | $387K | +36.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003000 | $293K | $413K | +41.1% |
| Tract 004229 | $281K | $394K | +40.5% |
| Tract 004122 | $292K | $406K | +39.4% |
| Tract 000825 | $284K | $393K | +38.6% |
| Tract 000485 | $279K | $384K | +37.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001785 | $280K | $359K | $262K |
| Tract 001581 | $275K | $352K | $268K |
| Tract 003181 | $285K | $374K | $271K |
| Tract 003385 | $280K | $365K | $273K |
| Tract 001743 | $286K | $377K | $277K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources