County 56798, WY · Census Tract 56798800003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.16M
Downside (P10)
$1.31M
-40% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.72M
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.26M
+5% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +5%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 56798 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.2M | $2.2M | $2.0M | $1.8M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | +0.0% | -7.4% | -12.2% | -2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.2M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.5M | $2.4M | $2.2M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.79M to $2.38M
27.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.31M to $2.26M
55.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760004 | $1.95M | $1.48M | -24.2% |
| Tract 720002 | $1.87M | $1.34M | -28.0% |
| Tract 560000 | $1.63M | $1.27M | -21.9% |
| Tract 280005 | $1.36M | $980K | -28.1% |
| Tract 840005 | $1.27M | $931K | -27.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560000 | $1.63M | $1.27M | -21.9% |
| Tract 760004 | $1.95M | $1.48M | -24.2% |
| Tract 840005 | $1.27M | $931K | -27.0% |
| Tract 000007 | $4.33M | $3.16M | -27.1% |
| Tract 720002 | $1.87M | $1.34M | -28.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560000 | $1.63M | $1.27M | $990K |
| Tract 760004 | $1.95M | $1.48M | $1.06M |
| Tract 720002 | $1.87M | $1.34M | $1.12M |
| Tract 840005 | $1.27M | $931K | $1.14M |
| Tract 280005 | $1.36M | $980K | $1.19M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources