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Crawford, AR · ZIP 72947 · Census Tract 05033020402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$210K
Downside (P10)
$183K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$220K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$271K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $114K | $110K | $111K | $111K | $111K | $112K | $159K | $170K | $199K | $210K | $205K | $215K | $220K |
| YoY Change | +6.8% | -3.4% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +41.7% | +7.2% | +16.6% | +5.7% | -2.4% | +4.9% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $185K | $188K | $183K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $248K | $271K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$185K to $238K
25.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$183K to $271K
39.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vine Prairie area | $206K | $220K | +6.7% | |
| Oliver Springs area | $212K | $224K | +5.8% | |
| Alma | $226K | $261K | +15.6% | |
| Jasper area | $230K | $237K | +3.0% | |
| Locke area | $187K | $200K | +7.1% | |
| Kibler area | $237K | $273K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vine Prairie area | $206K | $220K | +6.7% | |
| Alma | $226K | $261K | +15.6% | |
| Kibler area | $237K | $273K | +15.2% | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020301) | $170K | $196K | +15.0% | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020501) | $128K | $146K | +14.1% | |
| Lees Creek area | $182K | $208K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vine Prairie area | $206K | $220K | $87K | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020502) | $124K | $134K | $66K | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020501) | $128K | $146K | $85K | |
| Van Buren (Tract 020208) | $179K | $204K | $97K | |
| Cedar Creek area | $162K | $177K | $100K | |
| Whitley area | $165K | $186K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.