Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Alameda, CA · ZIP 94612 · Census Tract 06001402802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$814K
Downside (P10)
$719K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$845K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.06M
+31% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $620K | $664K | $786K | $814K | $808K | $834K | $845K |
| YoY Change | +7.0% | +18.4% | +3.6% | -0.7% | +3.2% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $707K | $718K | $719K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $962K | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$707K to $962K
31.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$719K to $1.06M
40.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland · 94612 · (Tract 4028.2) | $792K | $845K | +6.7% | |
| Hayward (Tract 435500) | $822K | $916K | +11.5% | |
| Hayward (Tract 436601) | $815K | $908K | +11.4% | |
| Oakland (Tract 406202) | $814K | $899K | +10.4% | |
| Hayward (Tract 437600) | $808K | $862K | +6.7% | |
| Oakland (Tract 405902) | $808K | $843K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland · 94612 · (Tract 4028.2) | $792K | $845K | +6.7% | |
| Berkeley (Tract 422700) | $1.24M | $1.51M | +22.0% | |
| Livermore-Pleasanton | $2.01M | $2.45M | +22.0% | |
| Oakland | $623K | $743K | +19.2% | |
| Berkeley (Tract 421500) | $1.63M | $1.94M | +18.8% | |
| Fremont | $2.04M | $2.43M | +18.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland · 94612 · (Tract 4028.2) | $792K | $845K | $344K | |
| Oakland (Tract 407200) | $621K | $737K | $294K | |
| Hayward (Tract 438204) | $404K | $439K | $292K | |
| Hayward (Tract 438201) | $564K | $643K | $287K | |
| Oakland (Tract 402600) | $526K | $612K | $267K | |
| Oakland (Tract 409500) | $461K | $471K | $187K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.