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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Alameda, CA · ZIP 94536 · Census Tract 06001441200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.38M
Downside (P10)
$1.19M
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.45M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.87M
+36% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $623K | $671K | $743K | $824K | $898K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +7.7% | +10.7% | +10.9% | +8.9% | +14.8% | +1.7% | +21.7% | +8.2% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +3.4% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.19M to $1.64M
31.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.19M to $1.87M
47.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremont | $1.36M | $1.45M | +6.7% | |
| Livermore-Pleasanton | $1.37M | $1.46M | +7.0% | |
| Berkeley | $1.37M | $1.46M | +6.7% | |
| Hayward | $1.38M | $1.44M | +4.7% | |
| Pleasanton (Tract 450746) | $1.37M | $1.42M | +4.2% | |
| Pleasanton (Tract 450603) | $1.38M | $1.39M | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremont | $1.36M | $1.45M | +6.7% | |
| Berkeley (Tract 422700) | $1.24M | $1.51M | +22.0% | |
| Livermore-Pleasanton | $2.01M | $2.45M | +22.0% | |
| Oakland | $623K | $743K | +19.2% | |
| Berkeley (Tract 421500) | $1.63M | $1.94M | +18.8% | |
| Fremont | $2.04M | $2.43M | +18.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremont | $1.36M | $1.45M | $684K | |
| Oakland (Tract 407200) | $621K | $737K | $294K | |
| Hayward (Tract 438204) | $404K | $439K | $292K | |
| Hayward (Tract 438201) | $564K | $643K | $287K | |
| Oakland (Tract 402600) | $526K | $612K | $267K | |
| Oakland (Tract 409500) | $461K | $471K | $187K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.