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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Alpine, CA · Census Tract 06003000300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.41M
Downside (P10)
$1.29M
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.72M
+22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.20M
+56% by 2030
Base case: +22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | +10.2% | +2.0% | +1.4% | +7.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.9M | $2.1M | $2.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.34M to $1.80M
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.29M to $2.20M
53.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markleeville area · (Tract 3) | $1.41M | $1.72M | +22.0% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract 000305) | $152K | $237K | +55.6% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract A01702) | $478K | $725K | +51.7% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract A00301) | $122K | $185K | +51.2% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract A01601) | $316K | $445K | +40.7% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract A00201) | $188K | $259K | +37.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markleeville area · (Tract 3) | $1.41M | $1.72M | +22.0% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract A01200) | $58K | $95K | +62.8% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract 000305) | $152K | $237K | +55.6% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract A00500) | $103K | $160K | +54.9% | |
| Markleeville area (Tract 000201) | $55K | $84K | +53.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources