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Contra Costa, CA · ZIP 94563 · Census Tract 06013354001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.67M
Downside (P10)
$1.40M
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.84M
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.33M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $937K | $983K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.8M | $1.8M |
| YoY Change | +4.9% | +5.3% | +7.8% | +4.9% | +1.5% | +3.0% | +21.8% | +1.9% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +2.6% | +5.9% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.4M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $2.2M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.45M to $2.04M
34.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.40M to $2.33M
50.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Contra Costa · Orinda · (Tract 3540.1) | $1.62M | $1.84M | +13.6% | |
| San Ramon | $1.70M | $1.97M | +15.7% | |
| Central Contra Costa (Tract 355302) | $1.66M | $1.86M | +12.3% | |
| Danville | $1.68M | $1.81M | +7.5% | |
| Tassajara | $1.67M | $1.77M | +6.3% | |
| Central Contra Costa (Tract 345115) | $1.70M | $1.78M | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Contra Costa · Orinda · (Tract 3540.1) | $1.62M | $1.84M | +13.6% | |
| Tassajara | $1.99M | $2.48M | +24.5% | |
| Pittsburg | $500K | $620K | +24.0% | |
| San Pablo | $572K | $683K | +19.3% | |
| Walnut Creek | $761K | $906K | +19.0% | |
| Concord | $627K | $745K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Contra Costa · Orinda · (Tract 3540.1) | $1.62M | $1.84M | $932K | |
| Pittsburg | $504K | $576K | $237K | |
| Concord (Tract 336104) | $404K | $434K | $214K | |
| Antioch | $305K | $329K | $188K | |
| Concord (Tract 328000) | $319K | $340K | $166K | |
| Central Contra Costa | $227K | $251K | $106K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.