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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Contra Costa, CA · ZIP 94553 · Census Tract 06013320004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$793K
Downside (P10)
$657K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$884K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+43% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $395K | $428K | $484K | $526K | $554K | $582K | $598K | $699K | $744K | $778K | $793K | $822K | $850K | $884K | $808K |
| YoY Change | +8.4% | +13.2% | +8.6% | +5.4% | +5.0% | +2.9% | +16.9% | +6.4% | +4.5% | +2.0% | +3.7% | +3.4% | +3.9% | -8.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $710K | $679K | $657K | $718K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $946K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $906K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$710K to $946K
28.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$718K to $906K
23.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Contra Costa | $780K | $884K | +13.3% | |
| East Contra Costa | $787K | $889K | +12.9% | |
| Hercules | $795K | $887K | +11.5% | |
| Central Contra Costa | $794K | $867K | +9.1% | |
| West Contra Costa (Tract 360200) | $788K | $857K | +8.8% | |
| West Contra Costa (Tract 357000) | $790K | $812K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Contra Costa | $780K | $884K | +13.3% | |
| Tassajara | $1.99M | $2.48M | +24.5% | |
| Pittsburg | $500K | $620K | +24.0% | |
| San Pablo | $572K | $683K | +19.3% | |
| Walnut Creek | $761K | $906K | +19.0% | |
| Concord | $627K | $745K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Contra Costa | $780K | $884K | $475K | |
| Pittsburg | $504K | $576K | $237K | |
| Concord (Tract 336104) | $404K | $434K | $214K | |
| Antioch | $305K | $329K | $188K | |
| Concord (Tract 328000) | $319K | $340K | $166K | |
| Central Contra Costa | $227K | $251K | $106K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.