Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Contra Costa, CA · ZIP 94806 · Census Tract 06013366001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$578K
Downside (P10)
$457K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$581K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$785K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $219K | $255K | $299K | $338K | $378K | $419K | $465K | $499K | $519K | $568K | $578K | $574K | $582K | $581K |
| YoY Change | +16.6% | +17.2% | +12.9% | +11.8% | +10.9% | +11.1% | +7.3% | +4.0% | +9.4% | +1.9% | -0.7% | +1.3% | -0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $505K | $497K | $457K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $647K | $695K | $785K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$505K to $647K
24.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$457K to $785K
56.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Pablo | $573K | $581K | +1.3% | |
| San Pablo | $573K | $664K | +15.9% | |
| Oakley | $576K | $662K | +15.0% | |
| Richmond | $583K | $667K | +14.4% | |
| Pittsburg | $575K | $653K | +13.5% | |
| West Contra Costa | $579K | $617K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Pablo | $573K | $581K | +1.3% | |
| Tassajara | $1.99M | $2.48M | +24.5% | |
| Pittsburg | $500K | $620K | +24.0% | |
| San Pablo | $572K | $683K | +19.3% | |
| Walnut Creek | $761K | $906K | +19.0% | |
| Concord | $627K | $745K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Pablo | $573K | $581K | $328K | |
| Pittsburg | $504K | $576K | $237K | |
| Concord (Tract 336104) | $404K | $434K | $214K | |
| Antioch | $305K | $329K | $188K | |
| Concord (Tract 328000) | $319K | $340K | $166K | |
| Central Contra Costa | $227K | $251K | $106K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.