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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Calaveras, CA · ZIP 95222 · Census Tract 06009000220 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$449K
Downside (P10)
$392K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$496K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$616K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $208K | $221K | $225K | $259K | $283K | $312K | $333K | $386K | $432K | $435K | $449K | $461K | $475K | $496K |
| YoY Change | +6.3% | +1.9% | +15.2% | +9.4% | +10.0% | +7.0% | +15.8% | +11.8% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $401K | $390K | $392K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $526K | $564K | $616K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$401K to $526K
27.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$392K to $616K
45.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $443K | $496K | +11.8% | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000501) | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | +7.9% | |
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | +7.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000504) | $443K | $474K | +6.9% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000301) | $416K | $439K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $443K | $496K | +11.8% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000124) | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas | $452K | $488K | +7.9% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000122) | $485K | $520K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $443K | $496K | $224K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000504) | $443K | $474K | $237K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | $231K | |
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000302) | $487K | $516K | $221K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000400) | $325K | $330K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.