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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 06281, CA · Census Tract 06281720006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$3.36M
Downside (P10)
$1.48M
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.35M
-30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.12M
-7% by 2030
Base case: -30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to -7%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.4M | $3.3M | $2.8M | $2.4M | $2.4M |
| YoY Change | -1.8% | -15.7% | -12.7% | -2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.3M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.5M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.9M | $3.5M | $3.1M | $3.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$2.26M to $3.94M
50.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.48M to $3.12M
69.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720006 | $3.36M | $2.35M | -29.9% | |
| Tract 280009 | $6.62M | $4.98M | -24.7% | |
| Tract 000001 | $3.08M | $2.29M | -25.6% | |
| Tract 640005 | $3.80M | $2.58M | -32.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720006 | $3.36M | $2.35M | -29.9% | |
| Tract 280009 | $6.62M | $4.98M | -24.7% | |
| Tract 000001 | $3.08M | $2.29M | -25.6% | |
| Tract 640005 | $3.80M | $2.58M | -32.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720006 | $3.36M | $2.35M | $1.64M | |
| Tract 280009 | $6.62M | $4.98M | $3.21M | |
| Tract 640005 | $3.80M | $2.58M | $1.58M | |
| Tract 000001 | $3.08M | $2.29M | $1.34M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources