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Fresno, CA · ZIP 93727 · Census Tract 06019003004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$327K
Downside (P10)
$277K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$357K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$467K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $145K | $158K | $163K | $172K | $192K | $215K | $269K | $291K | $317K | $327K | $326K | $350K | $357K |
| YoY Change | +0.0% | +8.9% | +3.6% | +5.1% | +11.6% | +11.9% | +25.6% | +8.1% | +8.7% | +3.2% | -0.1% | +7.2% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $266K | $266K | $277K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $384K | $412K | $467K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$266K to $384K
36.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$277K to $467K
53.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno · 93727 · (Tract 30.4) | $322K | $357K | +11.1% | |
| Fresno (Tract 005304) | $326K | $384K | +17.8% | |
| Sanger | $327K | $359K | +9.9% | |
| Reedley | $328K | $355K | +8.1% | |
| Selma | $328K | $352K | +7.2% | |
| Fresno (Tract 004404) | $325K | $347K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno · 93727 · (Tract 30.4) | $322K | $357K | +11.1% | |
| Fresno (Tract 002000) | $108K | $132K | +21.8% | |
| Clovis | $553K | $658K | +19.1% | |
| Fresno (Tract 002702) | $239K | $284K | +18.6% | |
| Parlier-Del Rey | $250K | $295K | +17.8% | |
| Fresno (Tract 002200) | $370K | $436K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno · 93727 · (Tract 30.4) | $322K | $357K | $190K | |
| Selma | $164K | $182K | $95K | |
| Fresno (Tract 002501) | $195K | $218K | $95K | |
| Fresno (Tract 001100) | $187K | $198K | $85K | |
| Clovis | $123K | $139K | $83K | |
| Fresno (Tract 002000) | $108K | $132K | $74K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.