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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lake, CA · ZIP 95422 · Census Tract 06033000801 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$246K
Downside (P10)
$204K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$265K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$339K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $76K | $80K | $55K | $96K | $138K | $156K | $173K | $238K | $239K | $246K | $246K | $254K | $265K |
| YoY Change | +15.9% | +4.3% | -30.6% | +73.4% | +44.0% | +13.3% | +10.3% | +37.9% | +0.3% | +3.2% | +0.1% | +2.9% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $219K | $207K | $204K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $306K | $325K | $339K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$219K to $306K
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$204K to $339K
51.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clearlake · 95422 · (Tract 8.1) | $241K | $265K | +10.2% | |
| Lakeport | $249K | $281K | +12.5% | |
| Lucerne-Clearlake Oaks (Tract 000601) | $266K | $295K | +10.8% | |
| Clearlake | $239K | $263K | +10.1% | |
| Lucerne-Clearlake Oaks (Tract 000501) | $242K | $262K | +8.3% | |
| Upper Lake-Nice | $206K | $208K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clearlake · 95422 · (Tract 8.1) | $241K | $265K | +10.2% | |
| Lakeport | $249K | $281K | +12.5% | |
| Lower Lake | $487K | $543K | +11.5% | |
| Upper Lake-Nice | $385K | $429K | +11.2% | |
| Lucerne-Clearlake Oaks | $266K | $295K | +10.8% | |
| Cobb | $322K | $355K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clearlake · 95422 · (Tract 8.1) | $241K | $265K | $135K | |
| Lucerne-Clearlake Oaks | $242K | $262K | $131K | |
| Clearlake area | $197K | $217K | $130K | |
| Upper Lake-Nice | $206K | $208K | $123K | |
| Clearlake (Tract 000703) | $187K | $200K | $115K | |
| Clearlake (Tract 000704) | $200K | $209K | $107K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.