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Placer, CA · ZIP 96140 · Census Tract 06061020105 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.01M
Downside (P10)
$825K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.08M
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.40M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $571K | $570K | $629K | $667K | $717K | $698K | $718K | $823K | $902K | $956K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -0.2% | +10.2% | +6.1% | +7.6% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +14.6% | +9.6% | +6.0% | +5.6% | +3.7% | +2.1% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $877K | $869K | $825K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$877K to $1.16M
26.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$825K to $1.40M
53.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Tahoe | $984K | $1.08M | +9.7% | |
| Lake Tahoe (Tract 022100) | $1.02M | $1.17M | +14.5% | |
| Rocklin (Tract 020608) | $978K | $1.05M | +7.8% | |
| Lake Tahoe (Tract 020106) | $976K | $1.03M | +5.8% | |
| Rocklin (Tract 020601) | $1.03M | $1.09M | +5.5% | |
| Rocklin (Tract 021204) | $1.00M | $1.06M | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Tahoe | $984K | $1.08M | +9.7% | |
| Lake Tahoe (Tract 020104) | $870K | $1.04M | +19.3% | |
| Lake Tahoe (Tract 022300) | $1.16M | $1.37M | +17.8% | |
| Rocklin (Tract 021106) | $637K | $747K | +17.3% | |
| Roseville | $704K | $816K | +15.9% | |
| Rocklin (Tract 021203) | $621K | $718K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Tahoe | $984K | $1.08M | $575K | |
| Colfax-Monumental Ridge (Tract 022002) | $496K | $539K | $261K | |
| Roseville (Tract 020806) | $468K | $516K | $258K | |
| Roseville (Tract 020901) | $447K | $478K | $253K | |
| Colfax-Monumental Ridge (Tract 022013) | $461K | $455K | $196K | |
| Rocklin | $282K | $319K | $178K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.