Riverside, CA · ZIP 92530 · Census Tract 06065043005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$384K
Downside (P10)
$329K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$446K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$547K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +42%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Riverside markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $175K | $200K | $233K | $258K | $266K | $292K | $347K | $363K | $376K | $384K | $398K | $415K | $446K |
| YoY Change | -2.0% | +14.2% | +16.9% | +10.4% | +3.3% | +9.7% | +19.1% | +4.6% | +3.4% | +2.3% | +3.5% | +4.4% | +7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $303K | $322K | $329K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $442K | $481K | $547K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$303K to $442K
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$329K to $547K
48.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsinore Valley · Lake Elsinore · (Tract 430.5) | $381K | $446K | +17.1% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $385K | $434K | +12.7% | |
| Perris Valley | $383K | $411K | +7.5% | |
| Banning | $386K | $407K | +5.4% | |
| Palm Desert | $387K | $396K | +2.3% | |
| Indio | $381K | $431K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsinore Valley · Lake Elsinore · (Tract 430.5) | $381K | $446K | +17.1% | |
| Moreno Valley | $364K | $452K | +24.0% | |
| Riverside | $671K | $823K | +22.6% | |
| Blythe | $250K | $304K | +21.9% | |
| Riverside | $592K | $721K | +21.7% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsinore Valley · Lake Elsinore · (Tract 430.5) | $381K | $446K | $218K | |
| Coachella Valley | $67K | $75K | $38K | |
| Coachella Valley | $52K | $57K | $39K | |
| Desert Edge | $66K | $75K | $45K | |
| Hemet | $62K | $75K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.