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Sacramento, CA · ZIP 95815 · Census Tract 06067006600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$353K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$417K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$584K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $135K | $152K | $173K | $201K | $227K | $249K | $262K | $276K | $331K | $347K | $353K | $369K | $391K | $417K |
| YoY Change | +12.9% | +13.7% | +16.1% | +13.1% | +9.6% | +5.5% | +5.1% | +20.0% | +5.0% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +5.8% | +6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $310K | $300K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $471K | $530K | $584K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$302K to $471K
45.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$300K to $584K
68.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento · 95815 · (Tract 66) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Florin (Tract 005101) | $351K | $395K | +12.5% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 006501) | $355K | $395K | +11.1% | |
| Rancho Cordova | $350K | $389K | +11.1% | |
| Florin (Tract 005003) | $351K | $384K | +9.3% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 007413) | $357K | $383K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento · 95815 · (Tract 66) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 007026) | $591K | $720K | +21.8% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 007027) | $390K | $471K | +21.0% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005502) | $382K | $459K | +20.0% | |
| Arden-Arcade | $461K | $553K | +19.9% | |
| Foothill Farms | $431K | $516K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento · 95815 · (Tract 66) | $353K | $417K | $284K | |
| Arden-Arcade | $224K | $242K | $94K | |
| Foothill Farms | $250K | $252K | $87K | |
| Rancho Cordova | $167K | $173K | $84K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005205) | $142K | $164K | $78K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 004502) | $119K | $133K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.