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Sacramento, CA · ZIP 95638 · Census Tract 06067009406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$811K
Downside (P10)
$628K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$890K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.34M
+65% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $388K | $422K | $460K | $494K | $582K | $600K | $606K | $687K | $705K | $771K | $811K | $814K | $845K | $890K |
| YoY Change | +8.8% | +8.9% | +7.5% | +17.9% | +3.1% | +0.9% | +13.4% | +2.7% | +9.4% | +5.2% | +0.3% | +3.8% | +5.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $688K | $673K | $628K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $996K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$688K to $996K
37.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$628K to $1.34M
80.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galt | $793K | $890K | +12.2% | |
| Folsom (Tract 008508) | $805K | $964K | +19.7% | |
| Sacramento | $817K | $883K | +8.1% | |
| Folsom (Tract 008513) | $824K | $869K | +5.5% | |
| Fair Oaks | $801K | $840K | +4.8% | |
| Carmichael | $806K | $817K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galt | $793K | $890K | +12.2% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 007026) | $591K | $720K | +21.8% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 007027) | $390K | $471K | +21.0% | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005502) | $382K | $459K | +20.0% | |
| Arden-Arcade | $461K | $553K | +19.9% | |
| Foothill Farms | $431K | $516K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galt | $793K | $890K | $713K | |
| Arden-Arcade | $224K | $242K | $94K | |
| Foothill Farms | $250K | $252K | $87K | |
| Rancho Cordova | $167K | $173K | $84K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 005205) | $142K | $164K | $78K | |
| Sacramento (Tract 004502) | $119K | $133K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.