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San Bernardino, CA · ZIP 91737 · Census Tract 06071002019 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$826K
Downside (P10)
$700K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$872K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+36% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $426K | $463K | $493K | $529K | $551K | $590K | $594K | $671K | $730K | $801K | $826K | $833K | $864K | $872K |
| YoY Change | +8.8% | +6.4% | +7.4% | +4.1% | +7.0% | +0.7% | +12.9% | +8.8% | +9.7% | +3.2% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $741K | $723K | $700K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $970K | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$741K to $970K
27.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$700K to $1.12M
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rancho Cucamonga | $819K | $872K | +6.4% | |
| Ontario | $829K | $954K | +15.0% | |
| Chino Hills | $829K | $948K | +14.4% | |
| Lake Arrowhead | $829K | $947K | +14.2% | |
| Rancho Cucamonga | $826K | $917K | +11.0% | |
| Upland | $819K | $834K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rancho Cucamonga | $819K | $872K | +6.4% | |
| Newberry Springs-Baker | $182K | $230K | +26.5% | |
| Victorville-Hesperia | $394K | $476K | +20.8% | |
| San Bernardino | $499K | $600K | +20.2% | |
| Victorville | $416K | $497K | +19.4% | |
| Rancho Cucamonga | $641K | $765K | +19.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rancho Cucamonga | $819K | $872K | $425K | |
| Ontario | $89K | $93K | $46K | |
| Searles Valley | $70K | $74K | $41K | |
| Yucaipa | $68K | $66K | $34K | |
| San Bernardino | $54K | $59K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.