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San Diego, CA · ZIP 92025 · Census Tract 06073020706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$978K
Downside (P10)
$761K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.08M
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.36M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $570K | $627K | $649K | $700K | $730K | $789K | $847K | $978K | $982K | $1.0M | $978K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +3.5% | +8.0% | +4.2% | +8.2% | +7.4% | +15.4% | +0.4% | +2.0% | -2.4% | +2.5% | +4.0% | +3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $846K | $790K | $761K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$846K to $1.18M
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$761K to $1.36M
55.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oceanside-Escondido · Escondido · (Tract 207.6) | $1.00M | $1.08M | +7.3% | |
| San Diego (Tract 000302) | $979K | $1.12M | +14.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 013605) | $978K | $1.09M | +11.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 013422) | $974K | $1.06M | +8.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 008513) | $974K | $1.06M | +8.4% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009509) | $974K | $1.05M | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oceanside-Escondido · Escondido · (Tract 207.6) | $1.00M | $1.08M | +7.3% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oceanside-Escondido · Escondido · (Tract 207.6) | $1.00M | $1.08M | $596K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.