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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Diego, CA · ZIP 92104 · Census Tract 06073001600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$493K
Downside (P10)
$453K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$542K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$757K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $266K | $319K | $351K | $365K | $411K | $320K | $367K | $477K | $493K | $469K | $493K | $507K | $516K | $542K |
| YoY Change | +20.0% | +10.2% | +4.0% | +12.5% | -22.1% | +14.7% | +29.8% | +3.5% | -4.8% | +5.0% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +5.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $442K | $446K | $453K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $630K | $692K | $757K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$442K to $630K
37.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$453K to $757K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · 92104 · (Tract 16) | $480K | $542K | +13.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 006801) | $500K | $556K | +11.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 003501) | $492K | $546K | +11.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 001700) | $499K | $554K | +10.8% | |
| Oceanside | $496K | $548K | +10.4% | |
| Lemon Grove | $484K | $524K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · 92104 · (Tract 16) | $480K | $542K | +13.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · 92104 · (Tract 16) | $480K | $542K | $304K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.