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San Diego, CA · ZIP 92109 · Census Tract 06073007908 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.19M
Downside (P10)
$1.04M
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.29M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.69M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $586K | $616K | $649K | $699K | $646K | $691K | $801K | $872K | $920K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +5.1% | +5.4% | +7.8% | -7.7% | +7.0% | +16.0% | +8.8% | +5.4% | +23.4% | +4.8% | +1.7% | +4.2% | +2.6% | -8.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.0M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$1.08M to $1.48M
33.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.04M to $1.32M
23.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · 92109 · (Tract 79.8) | $1.15M | $1.29M | +12.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017067) | $1.19M | $1.37M | +14.5% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009108) | $1.19M | $1.32M | +11.3% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017071) | $1.19M | $1.27M | +7.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004400) | $1.19M | $1.27M | +6.5% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007905) | $1.19M | $1.25M | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · 92109 · (Tract 79.8) | $1.15M | $1.29M | +12.0% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego · 92109 · (Tract 79.8) | $1.15M | $1.29M | $648K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.