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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Diego, CA · ZIP 92104 · Census Tract 06073001500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$941K
Downside (P10)
$824K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.03M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.43M
+52% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $495K | $544K | $604K | $627K | $634K | $665K | $677K | $757K | $857K | $922K | $941K | $979K | $996K | $1.0M | $963K |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +11.1% | +3.8% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +1.8% | +11.8% | +13.1% | +7.7% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +1.7% | +3.0% | -6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $860K | $866K | $824K | $846K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$860K to $1.18M
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$846K to $1.09M
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $942K | $1.03M | +8.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 008505) | $943K | $1.09M | +15.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 010201) | $944K | $1.09M | +15.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 006802) | $940K | $1.05M | +11.4% | |
| San Diego (Tract 006000) | $941K | $1.02M | +8.4% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009801) | $943K | $978K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $942K | $1.03M | +8.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $942K | $1.03M | $606K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.