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San Diego, CA · ZIP 92109 · Census Tract 06073007911 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$622K
Downside (P10)
$515K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$636K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$852K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $484K | $497K | $573K | $528K | $596K | $622K | $619K | $633K | $636K | $621K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$137,976 | -$124,576 | -$48,676 | -$93,576 | -$25,876 | -$3,275 | +$11,358 | +$14,131 | -$638 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -22.2% | -20.0% | -7.8% | -15.0% | -4.2% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +2.3% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $525K | $520K | $515K | $553K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $739K | $785K | $852K | $704K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$525K to $739K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$553K to $704K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $602K | $636K | +5.6% | |
| San Diego (Tract 003211) | $626K | $703K | +12.3% | |
| San Diego (Tract 003004) | $620K | $693K | +11.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 000901) | $615K | $682K | +10.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004000) | $623K | $671K | +7.7% | |
| San Diego (Tract 005301) | $616K | $651K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $602K | $636K | +5.6% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007601) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007912) | $1.28M | $1.51M | +18.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 002402) | $674K | $787K | +16.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007401) | $718K | $837K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $602K | $636K | $337K | |
| San Diego (Tract 001201) | $504K | $537K | $295K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002602) | $579K | $628K | $291K | |
| San Diego (Tract 006801) | $500K | $556K | $276K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002707) | $503K | $520K | $258K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002202) | $373K | $389K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
San Diego, CA · ZIP 92109 · Census Tract 06073007911 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$622K
Downside (P10)
$515K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$636K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$852K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $484K | $497K | $573K | $528K | $596K | $622K | $619K | $633K | $636K | $621K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$137,976 | -$124,576 | -$48,676 | -$93,576 | -$25,876 | -$3,275 | +$11,358 | +$14,131 | -$638 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -22.2% | -20.0% | -7.8% | -15.0% | -4.2% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +2.3% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $525K | $520K | $515K | $553K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $739K | $785K | $852K | $704K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$525K to $739K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$553K to $704K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $602K | $636K | +5.6% | |
| San Diego (Tract 003211) | $626K | $703K | +12.3% | |
| San Diego (Tract 003004) | $620K | $693K | +11.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 000901) | $615K | $682K | +10.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004000) | $623K | $671K | +7.7% | |
| San Diego (Tract 005301) | $616K | $651K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $602K | $636K | +5.6% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007601) | $1.15M | $1.36M | +18.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007912) | $1.28M | $1.51M | +18.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 002402) | $674K | $787K | +16.9% | |
| San Diego (Tract 007401) | $718K | $837K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | $602K | $636K | $337K | |
| San Diego (Tract 001201) | $504K | $537K | $295K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002602) | $579K | $628K | $291K | |
| San Diego (Tract 006801) | $500K | $556K | $276K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002707) | $503K | $520K | $258K | |
| San Diego (Tract 002202) | $373K | $389K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
