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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Diego, CA · ZIP 91915 · Census Tract 06073013315 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$873K
Downside (P10)
$655K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$941K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+49% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $561K | $602K | $702K | $739K | $844K | $873K | $896K | $904K | $941K | $878K |
| YoY Change | +7.3% | +16.7% | +5.2% | +14.2% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +0.9% | +4.1% | -6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $693K | $719K | $655K | $764K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $979K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$693K to $1.18M
54.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$764K to $979K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chula Vista | $862K | $941K | +9.2% | |
| Oceanside (Tract 018522) | $876K | $987K | +12.7% | |
| Poway | $873K | $928K | +6.3% | |
| Santee | $875K | $912K | +4.2% | |
| San Diego | $870K | $903K | +3.8% | |
| Oceanside (Tract 019808) | $870K | $857K | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chula Vista | $862K | $941K | +9.2% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chula Vista | $862K | $941K | $643K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.