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San Diego, CA · ZIP 92083 · Census Tract 06073019501 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$735K
Downside (P10)
$595K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$773K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$982K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $288K | $303K | $331K | $363K | $364K | $398K | $427K | $486K | $634K | $716K | $735K | $746K | $742K | $773K |
| YoY Change | +5.4% | +9.1% | +9.9% | +0.2% | +9.4% | +7.2% | +13.8% | +30.5% | +13.0% | +2.7% | +1.4% | -0.4% | +4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $591K | $572K | $595K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $880K | $903K | $982K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$591K to $880K
38.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$595K to $982K
50.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vista | $733K | $773K | +5.5% | |
| Rancho San Diego (Tract 013607) | $735K | $785K | +6.8% | |
| Rancho San Diego (Tract 013608) | $735K | $789K | +7.4% | |
| San Diego | $734K | $835K | +13.8% | |
| Oceanside | $734K | $776K | +5.8% | |
| Chula Vista | $733K | $807K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vista | $733K | $773K | +5.5% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009305) | $878K | $1.07M | +21.6% | |
| Encinitas | $2.04M | $2.46M | +20.8% | |
| San Diego (Tract 004102) | $990K | $1.19M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 017070) | $1.62M | $1.95M | +20.1% | |
| San Diego (Tract 009802) | $879K | $1.05M | +20.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vista | $733K | $773K | $387K | |
| El Cajon | $100K | $105K | $47K | |
| Chula Vista | $95K | $97K | $55K | |
| San Diego | $82K | $84K | $57K | |
| Escondido | $201K | $215K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.