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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Luis Obispo, CA · ZIP 93428 · Census Tract 06079010404 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$979K
Downside (P10)
$761K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.04M
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.40M
+43% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $638K | $639K | $636K | $628K | $650K | $677K | $715K | $867K | $930K | $947K | $979K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +0.0% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +3.6% | +4.1% | +5.6% | +21.3% | +7.3% | +1.8% | +3.3% | +2.7% | -0.4% | +4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $846K | $851K | $761K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$846K to $1.28M
42.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$761K to $1.40M
61.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Coast · Cambria · (Tract 104.4) | $966K | $1.04M | +7.7% | |
| Paso Robles | $948K | $1.07M | +13.4% | |
| North Coast | $1.01M | $1.12M | +10.6% | |
| Atascadero | $990K | $1.09M | +9.8% | |
| Arroyo Grande | $981K | $1.06M | +7.8% | |
| San Luis Obispo | $1.01M | $1.07M | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Coast · Cambria · (Tract 104.4) | $966K | $1.04M | +7.7% | |
| Arroyo Grande | $1.11M | $1.30M | +17.6% | |
| Paso Robles | $541K | $629K | +16.3% | |
| San Luis Obispo (Tract 011501) | $298K | $346K | +15.9% | |
| San Luis Obispo (Tract 010902) | $1.14M | $1.32M | +15.8% | |
| El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles) | $608K | $696K | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Coast · Cambria · (Tract 104.4) | $966K | $1.04M | $640K | |
| El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles) | $608K | $696K | $359K | |
| Atascadero | $586K | $663K | $331K | |
| Oceano | $534K | $589K | $310K | |
| Nipomo | $636K | $703K | $290K | |
| San Luis Obispo | $298K | $346K | $184K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.