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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Luis Obispo, CA · ZIP 93446 · Census Tract 06079010206 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$852K
Downside (P10)
$635K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$871K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+28% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $550K | $602K | $715K | $812K | $838K | $852K | $868K | $887K | $871K |
| YoY Change | +9.4% | +18.6% | +13.6% | +3.2% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +2.2% | -1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $686K | $680K | $635K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $954K | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$686K to $954K
30.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$635K to $1.09M
52.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles) | $848K | $871K | +2.8% | |
| Arroyo Grande | $865K | $962K | +11.2% | |
| San Luis Obispo (Tract 011103) | $866K | $949K | +9.6% | |
| San Luis Obispo (Tract 011300) | $843K | $922K | +9.4% | |
| Paso Robles | $845K | $911K | +7.8% | |
| Atascadero | $868K | $895K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles) | $848K | $871K | +2.8% | |
| Arroyo Grande | $1.11M | $1.30M | +17.6% | |
| Paso Robles | $541K | $629K | +16.3% | |
| San Luis Obispo (Tract 011501) | $298K | $346K | +15.9% | |
| San Luis Obispo (Tract 010902) | $1.14M | $1.32M | +15.8% | |
| El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles) | $608K | $696K | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles) | $848K | $871K | $453K | |
| El Paso de Robles (Paso Robles) | $608K | $696K | $359K | |
| Atascadero | $586K | $663K | $331K | |
| Oceano | $534K | $589K | $310K | |
| Nipomo | $636K | $703K | $290K | |
| San Luis Obispo | $298K | $346K | $184K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.