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Shasta, CA · ZIP 96002 · Census Tract 06089011209 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$351K
Downside (P10)
$323K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$403K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$594K
+69% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +69%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $178K | $190K | $199K | $230K | $249K | $271K | $334K | $325K | $340K | $351K | $374K | $391K | $403K |
| YoY Change | +4.5% | +6.9% | +4.7% | +15.5% | +8.2% | +9.0% | +23.4% | -2.8% | +4.7% | +3.2% | +6.5% | +4.6% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $326K | $328K | $323K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $432K | $530K | $594K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$326K to $432K
28.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$323K to $594K
67.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 012302) | $358K | $403K | +12.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 011100) | $367K | $397K | +8.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 010900) | $344K | $365K | +6.1% | |
| Redding (Tract 010300) | $357K | $377K | +5.6% | |
| Sacramento Canyon | $354K | $370K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% | |
| Central Shasta | $482K | $544K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding | $347K | $403K | $270K | |
| Central Shasta | $276K | $295K | $162K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.