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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Tehama, CA · ZIP 96022 · Census Tract 06103000201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$383K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$492K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $251K | $315K | $340K | $354K | $361K | $367K | $384K | $383K |
| YoY Change | -1.4% | +25.7% | +7.9% | +4.1% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +4.7% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $332K | $330K | $317K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $451K | $435K | $492K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$332K to $451K
32.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$317K to $492K
45.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bluff | $357K | $383K | +7.4% | |
| Corning (Tract 001101) | $381K | $436K | +14.4% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000702) | $346K | $389K | +12.7% | |
| West Tehama | $374K | $401K | +7.1% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000202) | $375K | $401K | +6.9% | |
| Corning (Tract 001000) | $353K | $373K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bluff | $357K | $383K | +7.4% | |
| Corning (Tract 001102) | $301K | $347K | +15.3% | |
| Corning (Tract 001101) | $381K | $436K | +14.4% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000800) | $273K | $310K | +13.7% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000701) | $315K | $357K | +13.2% | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000702) | $346K | $389K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bluff | $357K | $383K | $175K | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000600) | $276K | $294K | $200K | |
| East Tehama (Tract 000100) | $339K | $346K | $166K | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000800) | $273K | $310K | $166K | |
| Red Bluff (Tract 000500) | $306K | $338K | $144K | |
| East Tehama (Tract 000900) | $243K | $259K | $119K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.