Ventura, CA · ZIP 93001 · Census Tract 06111002400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.04M
Downside (P10)
$909K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.20M
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.65M
+59% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +59%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Ventura markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $377K | $512K | $398K | $526K | $595K | $543K | $639K | $801K | $819K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +36.0% | -22.2% | +32.1% | +13.1% | -8.6% | +17.6% | +25.3% | +2.3% | +25.1% | +1.2% | +6.6% | +6.6% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $854K | $872K | $909K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$854K to $1.36M
46.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$909K to $1.65M
61.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) | $1.03M | $1.20M | +16.9% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.08M | +4.0% | |
| Simi Valley | $1.04M | $1.10M | +5.9% | |
| Oak Park | $1.04M | $1.15M | +10.5% | |
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) | $1.03M | $1.10M | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) | $1.03M | $1.20M | +16.9% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Buenaventura (Ventura) | $1.03M | $1.20M | $743K | |
| Oxnard | $155K | $168K | $108K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.