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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Clay, FL · ZIP 32073 · Census Tract 12019030303 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$272K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$305K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$391K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $133K | $135K | $140K | $147K | $157K | $174K | $203K | $229K | $266K | $272K | $278K | $294K | $305K |
| YoY Change | +14.6% | +1.9% | +3.6% | +4.9% | +7.0% | +10.8% | +16.8% | +12.5% | +16.1% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +5.7% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $234K | $223K | $224K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $337K | $357K | $391K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$234K to $337K
37.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$224K to $391K
54.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park · 32073 · (Tract 303.3) | $270K | $305K | +12.7% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030500) | $282K | $310K | +10.1% | |
| Oakleaf Plantation | $265K | $283K | +6.6% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030708) | $274K | $289K | +5.6% | |
| Lakeside | $262K | $274K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park · 32073 · (Tract 303.3) | $270K | $305K | +12.7% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park · 32073 · (Tract 303.3) | $270K | $305K | $167K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.