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Leon, FL · ZIP 32305 · Census Tract 12073002603 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$162K
Downside (P10)
$148K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$180K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$224K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $86K | $90K | $88K | $77K | $102K | $98K | $132K | $155K | $157K | $162K | $165K | $172K | $180K |
| YoY Change | -0.2% | +4.4% | -2.1% | -12.1% | +33.0% | -4.0% | +34.2% | +17.1% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +1.9% | +4.1% | +4.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $143K | $144K | $148K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $200K | $211K | $224K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$143K to $200K
34.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$148K to $224K
42.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Leon · Tallahassee · (Tract 26.3) | $163K | $180K | +10.5% | |
| Tallahassee Southwest | $162K | $168K | +3.5% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 000303) | $165K | $177K | +7.2% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002006) | $166K | $178K | +7.2% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002509) | $172K | $185K | +7.6% | |
| Southwest Leon | $150K | $159K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Leon · Tallahassee · (Tract 26.3) | $163K | $180K | +10.5% | |
| Northeast Leon (Tract 002420) | $352K | $424K | +20.5% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 000903) | $245K | $289K | +17.6% | |
| Southeast Leon | $185K | $216K | +16.9% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002201) | $194K | $226K | +16.5% | |
| Northeast Leon (Tract 002416) | $563K | $654K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Leon · Tallahassee · (Tract 26.3) | $163K | $180K | $76K | |
| Southwest Leon | $70K | $78K | $47K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 001200) | $99K | $103K | $48K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002007) | $125K | $130K | $60K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002103) | $130K | $142K | $64K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002106) | $122K | $139K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.