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Osceola, FL · ZIP 34744 · Census Tract 12097042800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$387K
Downside (P10)
$315K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$416K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$575K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $187K | $204K | $238K | $243K | $270K | $269K | $293K | $335K | $364K | $387K | $387K | $393K | $403K | $416K |
| YoY Change | +9.0% | +16.6% | +2.1% | +11.3% | -0.7% | +9.2% | +14.2% | +8.8% | +6.2% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +2.7% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $308K | $298K | $315K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $482K | $515K | $575K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$308K to $482K
44.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$315K to $575K
62.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $388K | $416K | +7.2% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043208) | $379K | $437K | +15.3% | |
| South and East Osceola | $386K | $439K | +13.7% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042901) | $384K | $419K | +9.2% | |
| Kissimmee | $384K | $412K | +7.2% | |
| Buenaventura Lakes | $382K | $405K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $388K | $416K | +7.2% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $388K | $416K | $260K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.