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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bear Lake, ID · Census Tract 16007000000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.73M
Downside (P10)
$789K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.35M
-22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.11M
+22% by 2030
Base case: -22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +22%. The model forecasts this with 46% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | -2.0% | -13.6% | -9.7% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $987K | $821K | $773K | $789K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$987K to $2.15M
68.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$789K to $2.11M
98.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Lake | $1.73M | $1.35M | -22.1% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 680006) | $3.89M | $3.06M | -21.3% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 280008) | $4.14M | $3.24M | -21.8% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 920009) | $2.83M | $2.14M | -24.3% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 320007) | $2.20M | $1.52M | -31.0% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 960001) | $4.48M | $2.86M | -36.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Lake | $1.73M | $1.35M | -22.1% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 680006) | $3.89M | $3.06M | -21.3% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 280008) | $4.14M | $3.24M | -21.8% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 920009) | $2.83M | $2.14M | -24.3% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 320007) | $2.20M | $1.52M | -31.0% | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 360009) | $4.74M | $3.14M | -33.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Lake | $1.73M | $1.35M | $1.32M | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 280008) | $4.14M | $3.24M | $2.06M | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 960001) | $4.48M | $2.86M | $1.73M | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 920009) | $2.83M | $2.14M | $1.37M | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 680006) | $3.89M | $3.06M | $1.31M | |
| Bear Lake (Tract 320007) | $2.20M | $1.52M | $1.28M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources