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Bullitt, KY · ZIP 40165 · Census Tract 21029020300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$262K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$347K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$457K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $190K | $192K | $193K | $206K | $211K | $229K | $264K | $282K | $292K | $307K | $328K | $334K | $347K | $304K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$118,477 | -$116,577 | -$114,777 | -$113,877 | -$100,477 | -$96,177 | -$78,077 | -$42,377 | -$25,077 | -$14,377 | +$21,675 | +$27,481 | +$40,358 | -$2,664 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.6% | -38.0% | -37.4% | -37.1% | -32.8% | -31.4% | -25.5% | -13.8% | -8.2% | -4.7% | +7.1% | +9.0% | +13.2% | -0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $277K | $269K | $262K | $274K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $375K | $415K | $457K | $350K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$277K to $375K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$274K to $350K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020401) | $303K | $341K | +12.7% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020402) | $318K | $339K | +6.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020602) | $284K | $300K | +5.7% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020202) | $302K | $319K | +5.6% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020103) | $292K | $288K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Lebanon Junction | $188K | $227K | +20.7% | |
| Hillview | $174K | $209K | +20.0% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $199K | $233K | +17.0% | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $367K | $417K | +13.9% | |
| Mount Washington | $273K | $311K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | $195K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020601) | $207K | $202K | $124K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020900) | $232K | $248K | $121K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020800) | $178K | $184K | $117K | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $199K | $213K | $105K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020704) | $126K | $128K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bullitt, KY · ZIP 40165 · Census Tract 21029020300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$262K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$347K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$457K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $190K | $192K | $193K | $206K | $211K | $229K | $264K | $282K | $292K | $307K | $328K | $334K | $347K | $304K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$118,477 | -$116,577 | -$114,777 | -$113,877 | -$100,477 | -$96,177 | -$78,077 | -$42,377 | -$25,077 | -$14,377 | +$21,675 | +$27,481 | +$40,358 | -$2,664 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.6% | -38.0% | -37.4% | -37.1% | -32.8% | -31.4% | -25.5% | -13.8% | -8.2% | -4.7% | +7.1% | +9.0% | +13.2% | -0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $277K | $269K | $262K | $274K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $375K | $415K | $457K | $350K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$277K to $375K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$274K to $350K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020401) | $303K | $341K | +12.7% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020402) | $318K | $339K | +6.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020602) | $284K | $300K | +5.7% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020202) | $302K | $319K | +5.6% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020103) | $292K | $288K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Lebanon Junction | $188K | $227K | +20.7% | |
| Hillview | $174K | $209K | +20.0% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $199K | $233K | +17.0% | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $367K | $417K | +13.9% | |
| Mount Washington | $273K | $311K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | $195K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020601) | $207K | $202K | $124K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020900) | $232K | $248K | $121K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020800) | $178K | $184K | $117K | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $199K | $213K | $105K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020704) | $126K | $128K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
